基于GCM的蒙古高原降水稳定同位素模拟
利用第二次稳定水同位素比较小组SWING2中的5种大气环流模式(GCM)对比分析蒙古高原降水同位素 大气水线方程、时空变化特征及与温度的关系,并与全球降水同位素观测信息网(GNIP)实测数据进行比较,旨在根据比较结果得出最佳适用于蒙古高原的GCM模型,为缺少实测站点的蒙古高原地区提供详细的降水同位素信息。结果表明:由LMDZ(ECMWF)模拟的当地大气水线方δD=7.783δ18O+3.011更接近于实测结果;5种GCM模式模拟的δ18O与δD都具有显著的季节性变化,其中模拟月均δ18O和δD值效果最好的为LMDZ(free)和LMDZ(ECMWF);根据纬度效应分析发现,只有CAM2(free)、LMDZ(ECMWF)和MIROC(free)模型能够显示出蒙古高原的纬度效应;从经度上看,LMDZ(ECMWF)和isoGSM(NCEP)模型显示出西段地区(87°~107°E)降水中的δ18O值比东段地区(107°~127°E)降水中的δ18O值大;在温度效应分析中,除了LMDZ(free)呈现出较弱的温度效应,其余模式均呈现出明显的温度效应,并且LMDZ(ECMWF)模式模拟两地降水中的δ18O与温度的相关系数最高,温度效应最强。
his study used five atmospheric circulation models (GCM) from SWING2 and the second stable water isotope comparison group, to analyze the atmospheric water line equations of precipitation isotopes, spatial and temporal variations, and temperature relationships in the Mongolian Plateau. They were compared with the data from the Global Network for Isotope Observation and Information on Precipitation (GNIP), to provide detailed precipitation isotope information for the Mongolian Plateau, which lacks measurement stations. The results show that the local atmospheric water equation D=7.78318O+3.011 simulated by LMDZ (ECMWF) was closer to the measured values; the 18O and D simulated by the five GCM models had significant seasonal variations, and the best simulation of their average monthly values were LMDZ (free) and LMDZ (ECMWF); and the results are based on the latitudinal effect. Only the CAM2 (free), LMDZ (ECMWF), and MIROC (free) models demon strated the latitudinal effect in the Mongolian Plateau. In terms of longitude, the LMDZ (ECMWF) and isoGSM(NCEP) models showed that the 18O values during precipitation in the western section of the region (87~107E) were higher than those in the eastern section (107~127E). Except for LMDZ (free), which demonstrated a weak temperature effect, others showed a robust impact. The LMDZ (ECMWF) model simulated the highest correlation coefficient between 18O and temperature during precipitation in the two areas, with the strongest temperature effect.
杨明月、杨山泉、黄翰林、陆文静、瞿德业
大气科学(气象学)自然地理学环境科学理论
GCM降水同位素蒙古高原
GCMprecipitationisotopesMongolian Plateau
杨明月,杨山泉,黄翰林,陆文静,瞿德业.基于GCM的蒙古高原降水稳定同位素模拟[EB/OL].(2024-11-12)[2025-08-13].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202411.00157.点此复制
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