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技术机会识别研究综述与展望

Review and Prospect of Research on Technology Opportunity Identification

中文摘要英文摘要

目的/ 意义]技术机会识别对技术创新发展、企业战略布局等具有重大意义,系统梳理现有研究成果,辨析当前局限和未来发展方向,为进一步开展技术机会识别研究与实践提供理论支撑。[方法/ 过程]首先明晰了技术机会的内涵与类型,然后梳理不同类型技术机会识别的国内外研究现状,总结不同类型技术机会识别的特点,最后剖析现有研究存在问题并提出对未来的展望。[结果/ 结论]现有研究的局限性:技术机会识别的研究视角和数据源相对单一;对于技术的表征过于宏观或微观,较少考虑词语之间的语义关系;后期评价不足,缺乏综合、系统的评价体系。未来研究展望:跨领域、跨主题的技术机会识别研究,以实现更多技术要素之间的交叉汇聚将会成为发展趋势;开展技术机会识别的数据源、研究方法和内容将会更多元且具有针对性;分析框架和流程将更加规范化,后期评价体系将更加完善。

Purpose/Significance] Identifying potential technological opportunities will help countries and enterprises seize scientific andtechnological opportunities, which is particularly important for innovation entities to enhance their core competitiveness and gaincompetitive advantages in scientific and technological innovation and application. A systematic review of existing research is providedon technology opportunity identification, discriminating current limitations and research prospects to provide theoretical support forfurther research and practice on technology opportunity identification. [Method/Process] This paper first clarifies the connotation andtypes of technology opportunities, and the research holds that technology opportunities can be divided into three types: emergingtechnology, blank technology and fusion technology. It then sorts out the research status of three different types of technologyopportunity identification at home and abroad through literature review, and focuses on the summary of the characteristics of differenttypes of technology opportunity identification. It includes the core ideas, main methods, representative literature, and each type of datasources, and evaluates the existing research results. Finally, the limitations of the current research, and the development direction offuture are discussed. [Results/Conclusions] Diversified types of technology opportunity identification are found and rich research methods are used in the literature, and a relatively standardized and systematic research paradigm has come into being. By analyzingeach type of technology opportunity, some common elements can be found, including representative methods, method principles, datasources, knowledge representation units, technology opportunity definitions, technology opportunity evaluation, advantages anddisadvantages, and other characteristics. The main limitations of the existing research are summarized as follows. First, the existingresearch is primarily carried out from a single perspective view, and a complete system of cross-domain technology identification andreference methods has not yet been formed. Second, in terms of data sources, most of the data sources of technology opportunityidentification are papers or patent data, and there is a lack of research on the integration of multi-source data and study on multiplerelationships. In terms of identification methods, the representative technology is primarily at a macro or micro level, and the semanticrelationship between words is seldom considered. Finally, in terms of post-evaluation, there is a lack of a comprehensive and systematicevaluation system. The possible research work in the future may focus on the following aspects: cross-field and cross-topic technologyopportunity identification to achieve cross convergence among more technology elements will become the development trend; morediversified and targeted data sources, research methods, and research content are expected; the analysis framework and process will bemore standardized, and the post-evaluation system will be improved.

刘婷、赵亚娟

DOI:10.13998/j.cnki.issn1002-1248.23-0409

NONE

技术机会识别技术机会类型研究方法技术创新述评

technology opportunity identificationtechnology opportunity typesresearch methodstechnological innovationreview

刘婷,赵亚娟.技术机会识别研究综述与展望[EB/OL].(2024-04-03)[2025-08-23].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202404.00105.点此复制

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