基于要素相关性分级和统计模型的滑坡区域敏感性制图—以G212线陇南段为例
Landslide susceptibility mapping based on factor relative grade and statistical models—with a case study in Longnan area of G212
G212线陇南段是我国地质灾害最发育的地区之一,绘制该区的滑坡危险等级地图对灾害管理和发展规划是极其必要的。基于滑坡的野外调查和室内研究,分析了滑坡分布和成因以及两者的关系基础上,确定了滑坡敏感性制图的评价要素和要素分级的初步方案,通过相关性分析方法检验和修正要素分级方案,然后利用二元信息值和多变量分析的统计模型绘制滑坡危险等级地图,最后选用8个活动的滑坡与危险等级地图进行直接对比检验,并通过对滑坡整体和局部的当前稳定性状态和未来稳定性趋势评价间接检验了滑坡危险等级地图的结果。结果表明,两种模型获得的滑坡危险等级地图与实际情况基本相吻合;同时,要素相关性分级方法以及基于专家知识定性认识和数学模型定量评价相结合的评价系统对获得更准确合理的滑坡敏感性地图是有作用的。
Longnan of highway 212 is one of the most serious areas of geo-disasters in China, so, landslide susceptibility mapping is vitally necessary for disaster management and planning development activities in the area. Based on the field and office studies in the study area, distribution and causes of landslide and their relationship were analyzed for determining evaluation factors and different grade of factors of landslide susceptibility mapping which were checked and verified by relative analysis, then, two landslide susceptibility maps of Longnan of Highway 212 were produced using the Bivariate Information Value Model(Infor) and Multivariate Analysis Model(Multi) with the help of Geographical Information Systems(GIS), last, the landslide susceptibility maps were checked by direct comparison and stability evaluation of selecting eight active landslides. The results showed that the outcomes from two models are correspond to the actual distribution of landslide susceptibility, at the same time, the factor relative graded method and the evaluation system combined qualitative understand of expert knowledge with quantitative estimate of mathematical model are help to obtain more accurate and reasonable landslide susceptibility maps.
付攀升、张帆宇、刘高
灾害、灾害防治
要素分析要素分级统计模型敏感性制图G212
Factor analysisFactor gradeStatistical modelsLandslide susceptibility mappingG212
付攀升,张帆宇,刘高.基于要素相关性分级和统计模型的滑坡区域敏感性制图—以G212线陇南段为例[EB/OL].(2009-03-19)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200903-732.点此复制
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