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Pitfalls in estimating the global carbon removal via forest expansion – a comment on Bastin et al. (2019)

Pitfalls in estimating the global carbon removal via forest expansion – a comment on Bastin et al. (2019)

来源:bioRxiv_logobioRxiv
英文摘要

Abstract We believe the carbon removal potential of 205 Gt C reported by Bastin et al. (2019) to be overestimated. The authors did not consider the carbon already stored on the land with identified tree restoration potential. For instance, grasslands and degraded forests have similar soil carbon stocks as old-growth forests. Accounting for these inconsistencies in the calculation, we estimate a carbon removal potential of 81 Gt C, i.e. only 39% of the Bastin et al. estimate. In addition, some of the assumptions about potential restoration area seem questionable and an essential question remains unanswered: why do areas identified as suitable for tree growth currently lack tree cover?

Arneth Almut、Bayer Anita、Rammig Anja、Zang Christian、Knoke Thomas、Krause Andreas、Buras Allan

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of TechnologyInstitute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of TechnologyTechnical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences WeihenstephanTechnical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences WeihenstephanTechnical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences WeihenstephanTechnical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences WeihenstephanTechnical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences Weihenstephan

10.1101/788026

环境科学技术现状

Arneth Almut,Bayer Anita,Rammig Anja,Zang Christian,Knoke Thomas,Krause Andreas,Buras Allan.Pitfalls in estimating the global carbon removal via forest expansion – a comment on Bastin et al. (2019)[EB/OL].(2025-03-28)[2025-05-02].https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/788026.点此复制

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