Folding-upon-binding pathways of an intrinsically disordered protein from a deep Markov state model

A central challenge in the study of intrinsically disordered proteins is the characterization of the mechanisms by which they bind their physiological interaction partners. Here, we utilize a deep learning based Markov state modeling approach to characterize the folding-upon-binding pathways observed in a long-time scale molecular dynamics simulation of a disordered region of the measles virus nucleoprotein NTAIL reversibly binding the X domain of the measles virus phosphoprotein complex. We find that folding-upon-binding predominantly occurs via two distinct encounter complexes that are differentiated by the binding orientation, helical content, and conformational heterogeneity of NTAIL. We do not, however, find evidence for the existence of canonical conformational selection or induced fit binding pathways. We observe four kinetically separated native-like bound states that interconvert on time scales of eighty to five hundred nanoseconds. These bound states share a core set of native intermolecular contacts and stable NTAIL helices and are differentiated by a sequential formation of native and non-native contacts and additional helical turns. Our analyses provide an atomic resolution structural description of intermediate states in a folding-upon-binding pathway and elucidate the nature of the kinetic barriers between metastable states in a dynamic and heterogenous, or 'fuzzy', protein complex.