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Asymptotic Inference for Exchangeable Gibbs Partition

Asymptotic Inference for Exchangeable Gibbs Partition

来源:Arxiv_logoArxiv
英文摘要

We study the asymptotic properties of parameter estimation and predictive inference under the exchangeable Gibbs partition, characterized by a discount parameter $α\in(0,1)$ and a triangular array $v_{n,k}$ satisfying a backward recursion. Assuming that $v_{n,k}$ admits a mixture representation over the Ewens--Pitman family $(α, θ)$, with $θ$ integrated by an unknown mixing distribution, we show that the (quasi) maximum likelihood estimator $\hatα_n$ (QMLE) for $α$ is asymptotically mixed normal. This generalizes earlier results for the Ewens--Pitman model to a more general class. We further study the predictive task of estimating the probability simplex $\mathsf{p}_n$, which governs the allocation of the $(n+1)$-th item, conditional on the current partition of $[n]$. Based on the asymptotics of the QMLE $\hatα_n$, we construct an estimator $\hat{\mathsf{p}}_n$ and derive the limit distributions of the $f$-divergence $\mathsf{D}_f(\hat{\mathsf{p}}_n||\mathsf{p}_n)$ for general convex functions $f$, including explicit results for the TV distance and KL divergence. These results lead to asymptotically valid confidence intervals for both parameter estimation and prediction.

Takuya Koriyama

数学

Takuya Koriyama.Asymptotic Inference for Exchangeable Gibbs Partition[EB/OL].(2025-06-26)[2025-07-16].https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.21527.点此复制

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