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Weak convergence of predictive distributions

Weak convergence of predictive distributions

来源:Arxiv_logoArxiv
英文摘要

Let $(X_n)$ be a sequence of random variables with values in a standard Borel space $S$. We investigate the condition \begin{gather}\label{x56w1q} E\bigl\{f(X_{n+1})\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr\}\,\quad\text{converges in probability,}\tag{*} \\\text{as }n\rightarrow\infty,\text{ for each bounded Borel function }f:S\rightarrow\mathbb{R}.\notag \end{gather} Some consequences of \eqref{x56w1q} are highlighted and various sufficient conditions for it are obtained. In particular, \eqref{x56w1q} is characterized in terms of stable convergence. Since \eqref{x56w1q} holds whenever $(X_n)$ is conditionally identically distributed, three weak versions of the latter condition are investigated as well. For each of such versions, our main goal is proving (or disproving) that \eqref{x56w1q} holds. Several counterexamples are given.

Fabrizio Leisen、Luca Pratelli、Pietro Rigo

数学

Fabrizio Leisen,Luca Pratelli,Pietro Rigo.Weak convergence of predictive distributions[EB/OL].(2025-07-25)[2025-08-04].https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.19169.点此复制

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