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首页|碳自偿与产量守恒:农业土壤碳信用的双重前置约束机制

碳自偿与产量守恒:农业土壤碳信用的双重前置约束机制

郑炜

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碳自偿与产量守恒:农业土壤碳信用的双重前置约束机制

Carbon Self-Neutralization and Yield Conservation: Dual Ex-Ante Constraints for Agricultural Soil Carbon Credits

郑炜1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京丰合宇泰生物科技有限公司
  • 折叠

摘要

当前以土壤有机碳变化量(ΔSOC)作为农业碳信用核算与签发基础的方法学缺少对ΔSOC的前置约束,虽然避免了临时碳汇与长期抵消之间的时间错配,保证农业碳信用的持久性,但会造成因盲目增碳而引发一系列风险。本文提出以“碳自偿”与“产量守恒”为双重原则的CAGB双门控机制作为解决方案。该机制是把作物地上生物量碳当量(CAGB)作为ΔSOC核算与签发碳信用的前置准入条件,CAGB并不计入碳信用:确保仅当农业系统运营排放已被自身光合作用中和(CAGB ≥ EGHG)且未牺牲粮食安全(Yt ≥ Y0)时,才允许计量和签发ΔSOC的碳信用。研究表明,这一机制以最小的制度改动成本——两道不等式前置检验——实现了对土壤碳信用气候完整性的根本性提升,为《巴黎协定》第6.4条机制、Verra VCS、Gold Standard及中国CCER等标准体系提供了可操作的方法学补充方案。

Abstract

Current mainstream agricultural carbon credit methodologies use soil organic carbon change (ΔSOC) as the basis for credit issuance without ex-ante constraints on ΔSOC itself. While this design avoids temporal mismatches between short-lived biomass carbon and long-term fossil fuel emissions—thereby ensuring credit permanence—it also creates risks arising from an unconstrained single-minded pursuit of carbon sequestration. This paper proposes the CAGB Double-Gate mechanism, grounded in the dual principles of "Carbon Self-Neutralization" and "Yield Conservation." Rather than generating carbon credits from aboveground biomass, this mechanism uses CAGB as a prerequisite ecological gate: through dual verification of operational carbon neutrality (CAGB ≥ EGHG) and yield baseline integrity (Y_t ≥ Y_0), it ensures that ΔSOC credits are issued only when a system's photosynthetic carbon fixation has neutralized its own operational emissions and the system maintains its food production capacity. The mechanism fundamentally enhances climate integrity through ex-ante screening with minimal institutional friction, providing a practical methodological supplement for Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement, Verra VCS, Gold Standard, and China's CCER framework.

关键词

碳自偿/农业碳信用/CAGB双门控/气候完整性/净初级生产力/产量守恒

Key words

Carbon Self-Neutralization/ agricultural carbon credit/ CAGB Double-Gate/ climate integrity/ net primary productivity/ yield conservation

引用本文复制引用

郑炜.碳自偿与产量守恒:农业土壤碳信用的双重前置约束机制[EB/OL].(2026-05-08)[2026-05-08].https://sinoxiv.napstic.cn/article/25828976.

学科分类

环境质量管理/农业经济

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首发时间 2026-05-08 11:15:19
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