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首页|工业AI大模型驱动风力发电站预测性维护研究综述——从“坏了才修”到“未坏先防”

工业AI大模型驱动风力发电站预测性维护研究综述——从“坏了才修”到“未坏先防”

刘宁

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工业AI大模型驱动风力发电站预测性维护研究综述——从“坏了才修”到“未坏先防”

Industrial AI Foundation Models for Predictive Maintenance of Wind Power Stations: A Review of the Shift from Reactive Repair to Proactive Prevention

刘宁1

作者信息

  • 1. 华润
  • 折叠

摘要

【目的】风力发电站运维模式正由故障后维修(“坏了才修”)向预测性维护(“未坏先防”)深度转型。工业人工智能(AI)大模型的兴起为该转型提供了新的技术路径,但其在风电领域的适用性边界、方法体系与工程约束尚缺乏系统梳理。【方法】以“数据—模型—应用—决策”为主线,系统检索并归纳2009年以来风力发电站状态监测、故障诊断与剩余使用寿命预测领域的代表性文献,重点辨析物理模型、传统机器学习、深度学习与工业AI大模型四类技术路线的作用机理与适用边界,并结合齿轮箱、主轴承、叶片、变桨系统等典型对象以及场站级运维决策场景,剖析工程应用成效。【结果】研究表明:(1)风电机组运维技术呈现“阈值报警—状态识别—寿命预测—自主决策”的四级跃迁,SCADA数据与状态监测系统数据的融合是方法有效性的前提;(2)深度学习在部件级诊断精度上已显著超越传统方法,但受制于标签稀缺、工况时变与跨机型泛化能力不足,工程依赖度仍低于预期;(3)以时序基础模型与大语言模型为核心的工业AI大模型,通过大规模预训练、跨模态重编程与领域知识注入,在少样本、零样本与跨机组迁移场景展现出明显优势,并已在故障推理与维修策略生成环节形成初步工程闭环;(4)大模型落地仍面临数据孤岛、幻觉风险、实时性约束、可解释性不足与评测标准缺位等突出障碍。【结论】面向风力发电站“未坏先防”目标,未来应重点发展风电领域专用基础模型、物理—数据融合的世界模型、边云协同的自主运维智能体以及可量化可信的评价基准,推动预测性维护由单点算法突破走向系统能力构建。

Abstract

Abstract: [Objective] The operation and maintenance (O&M) paradigm of wind power stations is undergoing a profound transition from corrective repair after failure to predictive maintenance before failure. The emergence of industrial artificial intelligence (AI) foundation models opens a new technical pathway for this transition, yet their applicability boundaries, methodological system, and engineering constraints in the wind energy sector remain unsystematically examined. Following a data–model–application–decision chain, this paper systematically surveys and synthesizes representative literature since 2009 on condition monitoring, fault diagnosis, and remaining useful life prediction for wind turbines. It critically distinguishes the mechanisms and applicability boundaries of four technical routes—physics-based models, conventional machine learning, deep learning, and industrial AI foundation models—and analyzes engineering outcomes across typical targets (gearbox, main bearing, blade, pitch system) and station-level O&M decision scenarios. [Results] The findings show that: (1) wind turbine O&M technology exhibits a four-stage evolution from threshold alarming through condition identification and life prediction to autonomous decision-making, in which the fusion of SCADA and condition monitoring system data is a prerequisite for methodological effectiveness; (2) deep learning has markedly surpassed conventional methods in component-level diagnostic accuracy, yet engineering reliance remains lower than expected owing to label scarcity, time-varying operating conditions, and insufficient cross-turbine generalization; (3) industrial AI foundation models centered on time-series foundation models and large language models demonstrate clear advantages in few-shot, zero-shot, and cross-turbine transfer settings through large-scale pre-training, cross-modal reprogramming, and domain knowledge injection, and have begun to form preliminary engineering loops in fault reasoning and maintenance strategy generation; and (4) deployment still faces prominent obstacles including data silos, hallucination risk, real-time constraints, insufficient interpretability, and the absence of evaluation standards. [Conclusions] To achieve proactive prevention in wind power stations, future efforts should prioritize domain-specific foundation models for wind energy, physics–data fused world models, edge–cloud collaborative autonomous O&M agents, and quantifiable and trustworthy evaluation benchmarks, thereby advancing predictive maintenance from isolated algorithmic breakthroughs toward systemic capability building.

关键词

风力发电站/预测性维护/工业AI大模型/故障诊断/剩余使用寿命/状态监测/数字孪生/物理信息机器学习

Key words

Keywords: wind power station/ predictive maintenance/ industrial AI foundation model/ fault diagnosis/ remaining useful life/ condition monitoring/ digital twin/ physics-informed machine learning

引用本文复制引用

刘宁.工业AI大模型驱动风力发电站预测性维护研究综述——从“坏了才修”到“未坏先防”[EB/OL].(2026-09-07)[2026-09-07].https://sinoxiv.napstic.cn/article/26161499.

学科分类

发电、发电厂
首发时间 2026-09-07 10:29:30
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