任务领域的可靠性梯度：一个智能体组织的闸门日志实证
Task-Domain Reliability Gradient: Evidence from 10,156 Gate-Catch Records in a Production Agent Organization
摘要
多智能体组织正在被部署到生产环境，但不同类型任务的行为可靠性差异从未被测量过。本文利用一个 26 席位生产型智能体组织连续两个月的写入级闸门日志（10,156 条拦截记录），按任务领域分组报告行为可靠性梯度。发现在可归因的 1,551 条记录（15.3%）中，代码/工程类任务以脚本格式闸门拦截为主（485 条，占可归因的 31.3%），标书/提案类以报告字段闸门为主（456 条，29.4%），制度/治理类以索引管理闸门为主（428 条，27.6%），论文/研究类以报告索引闸门为主（153 条，9.9%）——错误画像按领域分化。同时发现 56.8% 的拦截记录在脱敏明细中缺乏任务类型标识，无法归因到具体领域。这一归因缺口本身是治理层的设计选择而非技术限制，它直接制约了任务级可靠性分析的可及性。据此本文提出一条方法论原则：未经闸门检验的行为声明视为未发生（conservative default principle），并给出任务级评测协议的设计含义。
Abstract
Multi-agent organizations are being deployed in production environments, but behavioral reliability differences across task types have never been measured. This paper uses two months of write-level gate logs from a 26-seat production agent organization (10,156 interception records) to report behavioral reliability gradients grouped by task domain. Among the 1,551 attributable records (15.3%), code and engineering tasks are dominated by script-format gate interceptions (485 records, 31.3% of the attributable set), bid and proposal tasks by report-field gates (456, 29.4%), institutional and governance tasks by index-management gates (428, 27.6%), and paper and research tasks by report-index gates (153, 9.9%); error profiles diverge by domain. We further find that 56.8% of the interception records lack a task-type identifier in the de-identified detail and cannot be attributed to a specific domain. This attribution gap is itself a design choice of the governance layer rather than a technical limitation, and it directly constrains the accessibility of task-level reliability analysis. Accordingly, this paper proposes a methodological principle: behavioral claims not verified by a gate are treated as not having occurred (conservative default principle), and derives design implications for task-level evaluation protocols.关键词
任务领域/可靠性梯度/闸门日志/归因缺口/智能体组织/审计Key words
task domain/reliability gradient/gate logs/attribution gap/agent organization/audit引用本文复制引用
臧存勋.任务领域的可靠性梯度：一个智能体组织的闸门日志实证[EB/OL].(2026-10-29)[2026-11-02].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202610.00233.学科分类
计算技术、计算机技术
