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额尔齐斯河流域降水与气温变化分析

nalysis on the Change of Precipitation and Air Temperature in Irtysh Basin

中文摘要英文摘要

选取额尔齐斯河流域塞米巴拉金斯克(1926-1995)、鄂木斯克(1928-1995)、托博尔斯克(1931-1995)3个代表站的实测月降水资料及逐年气温资料, 利用距平分析法、11a滑动平均法、坎德尔(Mann - Kendall)方法以及时间序列的小波分析方法对流域上的降水量、气温的变化趋势以及降水量的突变及周期特征进行了分析。结果表明:额尔齐斯河流域年降水量在整个研究时段内呈现增加的趋势,同时具有一定的突变和周期特征。该流域年平均气温也呈现一定的上升趋势,且鄂木斯克站气温倾向率较大。

By using anomaly analytical method、11a moving average method、Mann - Kendall method and wavelet analysis along the time series to analyze the series of precipitation and air temperature, and study characteristic of abrupt change and periodicity of precipitation from 3 representative stations(Semipalatinsk(1926-1995) 、Omsk(1928-1995)、Tobolsk(1931-1995)) in Irtysh basin. The results revealed that precipitation of this basin in the whole have a increased current in this period, at the same time have a certain change and periodicity. The yearly air temperature of this period was in an ascending trend, and the climatic tendency of Omsk was comparatively high.

夏自强、王霞、唐志坚

大气科学(气象学)

降水量气温变化趋势额尔齐斯河流域

precipitationair temperaturechange trendIrtysh basin

夏自强,王霞,唐志坚.额尔齐斯河流域降水与气温变化分析[EB/OL].(2008-05-19)[2025-08-03].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200805-514.点此复制

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