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股指期货与现货的领先滞后关系实证研究

Empirical on the lead-lag relationship between stock index and its future

中文摘要英文摘要

本文选取了沪深300现货和沪深300股指期货仿真交易1分钟的高频数据,通过对现货和股指期货进行Granger因果检验,结果表明,沪深300的股指期货模拟交易数据至多领先现货市场2分钟,从而在一定程度上说明我国沪深300股指期货仿真交易对现货市场有一定的价格发现作用, 对我国适时推出股指期货提供了理论支持。

we cited the data of shanghai&shengzheng markets’ 300 index and its future date every 1 minute, then to test whether the two series have Granger casual relationship or not, according to the result, the futures and spot marker date have a lead-lag relation, the future index lead the spot market 2 minutes at most, this can explain the stock index future process the “price discover” function at a level and also support the issues of actual index future.

周娜

财政、金融

股指期货协整检验Granger因果检验

Stock Index FutureCointegration TestGranger Causality Tests

周娜.股指期货与现货的领先滞后关系实证研究[EB/OL].(2009-03-17)[2025-07-21].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200903-596.点此复制

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