国外需求结构变化对我国参与全球价值链的影响
he Effect of Foreign Demand Structure's Transformation on the Pattern China Participates in the Global Value Chain
区别于传统视角下需求侧贸易模式研究,本文从需求与贸易,结构变动与增加值之间的内在联系出发,剔除了需求规模对于贸易的影响,从需求结构出发,重点研究了消费结构变动的影响。参考出口增加值的定义方式,本文提出了消费增加值的相关概念和计算方法,将WIOD中41个国家进行了两次分类:一方面测算了南北国家间最终品消费结构、总产品消费结构和消费增加值系数指标,探讨了世界主要贸易模式,另一方面测算了世界七大经济体消费中国产品和增加值的三项指标,探讨了国外消费结构的变动情况。结果显示:第一,"北北贸易"仍然居于主导地位,但同时,"南北贸易"日益深化;第二,国外消费中国增加值的比例不高,国外更加偏好来源于中国的中间品而非中国增加值。中国中间品贸易日益兴盛但出口品中以低附加值产品为主,我国在全球价值链上的地位不高。
his paperfocuses on the effect of demand structure\'s transformation based on the internal connection between demand and trade,the structure's transformation and the value-added.Being different from the perspective of the traditional international trade research in the demand side,we do the research through demand structure and get rid of the effect of demand size.Refer to the definition of export value added,this paper proposes the concept and the calculation method of consumption value added.We divided the forty one countries and regions in the WIOD two times:On the one hand,We discuss the main pattern of world trade through calculating the ratios of the final consumption structure,the total consumption structure and the consumption value added.On the other hand,We calculate the ratios of Chinese products and value added brought by seven economies' consumption to discuss the foreign demand structure's transformation.The results showed that firstly North-North trade still predominates in the world trade but North-South trade is deepened;secondly the ratio of Chinese value added brought by foreign consumption is not high which shows that foreign countries prefer the intermediate goods but not the value added of China.Chinese intermediate goods trade is booming but the export goods are constituted by low value-added products,so that we are still in the low level of the the global value chains.
肖皓、刘甜
世界经济贸易经济
国际贸易全球价值链增加值需求结构
International tradeGlobal value chainsValue addeddemand structure
肖皓,刘甜.国外需求结构变化对我国参与全球价值链的影响[EB/OL].(2019-05-16)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201905-157.点此复制
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