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基于小波分析的降雨量与太阳黑子活动规律关系的研究

Research sunspot activity patterns of rainfall and relationships based on wavelet analysis

中文摘要英文摘要

选取1951-2003年每年7月份沈阳地区降水量月值同太阳黑子相对数月值做研究分析,采取互相关与Wavelet小波分析法处理数据,讨论其振幅正负间的震荡形式,对时间频率做局部化分析,摆脱Fourier变换的困难问题,详细分析了两组数据的内在联系。在做互相关时发现太阳黑子量与降雨量有密切关系,相关度达0.78且呈负相关:在太阳黑子峰值年附近降雨量出现谷值,黑子谷值附近降雨量呈峰值。小波分析结果表明:太阳黑子在降雨量出现峰值的2.3年,4.5年,6.7年,9.4年周期处存在对应关系,且4个降水周期近似等于1个太阳黑子周期,当太阳黑子峰值年到来,当年降雨为近10年内最少。该研究成果将为日后沈阳地区的降水预报,旱涝灾害的防护提供有利依据。

Selected each year from 1951 to 2003 July monthly precipitation values in Shenyang area with sunspot values for several months to do research and analysis, taking the cross-correlation with Wavelet wavelet analysis method to process data, discuss the form of the amplitude of oscillation between positive and negative, of the time and frequency do localized analysis, Fourier transform to get rid of difficult issues, a detailed analysis of the internal relations of the two data sets. Found that when doing cross-correlation with the amount of rainfall is closely related to sunspots, up 0.78 correlation and negative correlation: the emergence of the valley near the sunspot peak in rainfall, rainfall was sunspots valley near the peak value. Wavelet analysis results show that: the sunspot peak rainfall occurs 2.3 years, 4.5 years, 6.7 years, there is a correspondence between the period at 9.4 years, and four cycles of precipitation is approximately equal to a sunspot cycle, when the arrival of the peak sunspot, year rainfall for the past 10 years at least. The research results will provide the basis for future favorable rainfall forecast Shenyang region, protection of droughts and floods.

黄艺谋、李雅梅、郭天驰

天文学大气科学(气象学)灾害、灾害防治

降水量太阳黑子小波分析互相关沈阳

PrecipitationSunspotWavelet AnalysisCross correlationShenyang

黄艺谋,李雅梅,郭天驰.基于小波分析的降雨量与太阳黑子活动规律关系的研究[EB/OL].(2014-12-02)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201412-85.点此复制

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