基于灰色理论的城市生活垃圾产量预测
he Predication of Municipal Solid Waste Output
本文对城市生活垃圾产量的预测,提出了一种比较周全的模型。以上海市为例,充分考虑了影响垃圾产量的因素,并通过灰色关联度分析,选取与垃圾产量最为相关的4个因素,建立了一个包括4个因素指标的GM(1,1)预测方程的多元线性回归综合模型。该模型考虑了城市生活垃圾产量的主要影响因素,得到的拟合数据比较理想,预测模型和结果也更为合理可信。
In this paper, a more comprehensive model was proposed for the predication of municipal solid waste output. Take Shanghai as an example, it has considered the abundant factors that affect the production of waste. And through the analysis of grey correlation, it selects the most relevant four factors to the garbage output. Then this article founds a multiple linear regression comprehensive model including the four GM(1,1) prediction equations of the factor. This model considers the main influencing factors of the municipal solid waste output, and the production is ideal for the data. The model and the results are more reasonable and credible.
顾浩钦
废物处理、废物综合利用环境科学理论
城市生活垃圾产量预测灰色关联度多元线性回归GM(11)
Municipal Solid WasteProduction forecastgrey correlationMultiple linear regressionGM(11)
顾浩钦.基于灰色理论的城市生活垃圾产量预测[EB/OL].(2009-10-28)[2025-08-10].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200910-564.点此复制
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