中国区域性碳交易权市场试点价格波动分析
nalysis of Price Fluctuation in China\'s Carbon Trading Market
中国从2013年开始先后启动深圳、北京等八个碳交易区域性试点,以期通过区域性市场的建设运行探索其运行机制及价格规律,为全国性市场的启动提供经验。中国碳排放交易市场的启动必将给全球带来直接的效益,有益于高效控制全球碳排放总量、倒逼企业进行技术创新以提高能效和降低能源消耗,有效降低碳排放成本,保证企业收益最大化。通过对中国区域性试点交易价格运动规律的研究,研究不同试点的交易价格的非线性特征,计算其最大李雅普诺夫指数判断其混沌性特征。通过VAR模型判断国内各试点配额价格波动主要来源,从而对不同试点价格波动提出针对性建议。
In order to run through the regional market to explore its operating mechanism and the regularity of the price, and then to provide experience for the national carbon trading market, our country has started eight carbon trading regional pilot markets since 2013 in Shenzhen ,Beijing, etc. It will bring direct benefits to the world, and will be beneficial to the efficient control of global carbon emissions, make the enterprise technology innovation to improve energy efficiency and reduce energy consumption, effectively reduce the cost of carbon emissions, ensure enterprise achieve their max profit.Different market price of the nonlinear characteristics of the pilot computing its maximum LYAPUNOV Index to judge the chaos characteristics. And we judge the main reason of price fluctuation in order to put forward some suggestions to the construction of the exchange.
梁春文、舒建玲
环境科学技术现状环境管理能源动力工业经济
中国碳排放市场价格波动因素VAR模型
hina\'s carbon emissions marketprice fluctuation factorsVAR model
梁春文,舒建玲.中国区域性碳交易权市场试点价格波动分析[EB/OL].(2018-05-25)[2025-08-21].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201805-227.点此复制
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