江苏省FDI影响碳排放强度的因素分解分析
he Decomposition Model of the impact of FDI on Carbon Emissions Intensity for Jiangsu Province
江苏省是我国经济最发达的地区之一,也是FDI最为集中的地区之一。2007年江苏省外商直接投资占全国比重达29.3%,成为全国引进外资最多的省份。为分析江苏省利用外资是否能推动碳排放强度的降低?通过哪些方面推动碳排放强度的降低?本文分析了江苏省1985-2008年碳排放放量、碳排放强度、人均碳排放、FDI的阶段变化及其部门分布情况。在此基础上,采用LMDI分解法,建立了江苏省FDI对碳排放强度的因素分解模型,定量分析了1998-2007年间FDI经济规模、FDI部门结构、FDI技术进步与FDI固定资产规模四个因素对江苏省FDI对碳排放强度的影响。研究发现,江苏省利用外资多存在于第二产业,并逐步向第三产业转移。FDI固定资产规模是引起碳排放强度的正向决定因素,FDI经济规模、FDI技术进步是负向决定性因素,而FDI部门结构的累积效应多为正向作用。最后,提出相应的减排建议。
Jiangsu is the most economically developed areas in China, as well as one of the largest concentration of FDI. The FDI proportion of Jiangsu reaches 29.3% in 2007, and becomes the No.1 province in China. Whether the FDI of Jiangsu promotes the reduction of carbon emissions intensity? How does it promote the reduction of carbon emissions intensity? Thus, this article analysis the total amount, intensity, per capita of carbon emissions, the changes and the sector distribution of FDI of Jiangsu from 1985 to 2008. On this basis, a decomposition model of carbon intensity for Jiangsu Province is set up by LMDI method. The model is adopted to analyze the effect of the FDI economic development, the FDI industrial structural change, the FDI technical progress, the FDI scale of fixed assets to carbon emissions change in Jiangsu from 1998 to 2007. The results show that most of the FDI in Jiangsu exists in the second Industry, and it moves to the third Industry slowly. In addition, the FDI scale of fixed assets is the dominant factor causing the growth of carbon intensity, and the other three factors reduce the carbon intensity. In the end, the policy suggestions are offered.
赵欣
经济学环境科学理论环境污染、环境污染防治
碳排放强度LMDI江苏省FDI低碳经济
carbon emission intensityLMDIJiangsulow carbon economy
赵欣.江苏省FDI影响碳排放强度的因素分解分析[EB/OL].(2010-09-25)[2025-08-10].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201009-513.点此复制
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