中国汽车制造业的贸易流量与出口潜力：基于引力模型的分析

In recent years, the export of automobile manufacture products has kept a rapid growth with the development of the automotive industry. Its proportion in China's commodity export is becoming larger and larger. This article carries on an empirical study by building a gravity mode to observe the main factors that influence China's export of automobile industry since 1999. In the model, we select 39 countries which have a close trade relations with China on automobile industry. Thereafter, by the help of the regression model, this paper forecasts the export potential of China's automobile industry and makes a suggestion for the future development.