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上海股票市场的R/S分析

he R/S analysis of Shanghai Stock Market

中文摘要英文摘要

资本市场一直是人们关注的焦点,力图解释资本市场行为的理论和模型层出不穷。以传统的有效市场理论为基础的现代资本市场理论被越来越多的实践证明与现实不符。Edgar E.Peters提出的分形市场理论以非线性分析为基础,解释了许多有效市场理论无法解释的现象。本文基于分形市场理论,通过R/S分析方法对上海股票市场进行分析实证研究,结果显示上海股票市场并不服从随机游走模型,而是一个有偏的随机游走过程。

he capital market is always concerned by all the people, there’re many theories and models which try to analyze the capital market. More and More practices show that the modern capital market based on the efficient market hypothesis doesn’t accord with the fact. Edgar E.Peters and his fractal market hypothesis explain many phenomena that the efficient market hypothesis can not explain. Our paper will base on the fractal market hypothesis, use the R/S analysis to analyze the Shanghai Stock Market. The results show that the Shanghai Stock Market is not a truly random walk, but follow a partial random walk.

王伟、陆峰

财政、金融

股票市场分形R/S分析

Stock Market,Fractal,R/S analysis

王伟,陆峰.上海股票市场的R/S分析[EB/OL].(2008-07-10)[2025-08-03].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200807-232.点此复制

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