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中国股票市场的收入持续性和困境效应

Earnings persistance and distress effects in Chinese stock market

中文摘要英文摘要

为了研究收入同比增长的连续季度数量和经行业调整的员工人数百分比变化这两个公司特征因素在中国股票市场是否也能够预测中国股票月收益,采用Fama-MacBeth截面回归方法,结合Liu等2019年提出的中国版三因子模型中规模因素和盈利市价比因素进行分析。通过个股收益对特征因素的单因素回归和多因素回归,结果发现收入同比增长的连续季度数量和经行业调整的员工人数变化这两个特征因素在中国股票市场具有显著的特征效应,对股票月平均收益率确实有显著的解释作用,即收入同比增长的连续季度数量和经行业调整的员工人数百分比变化这两个公司特征因素在中国股票市场能够预测中国股票月收益。

In this paper, in order to study whether the two company characteristics, the number of consecutive quarters with earnings higher than the same quarter a year ago and the industry-adjusted change in the number of employees, can also predict Chinese monthly stock returns in Chinese stock market, we adopted Fama-MacBeth regressions. Combined with the size and earning-to-market characteristics in Liu, Stambaugh and Yuan (2019) \'s Chinese three-factor models, we find that there are significant earnings persistance and distress effects in Chinese stock market by comparing the results of single-factor regressions and multi-factor regressions. In conclusion, the two characteristics, the number of consecutive quarters with earnings higher than the same quarter a year ago and the industry-adjusted change in the number of employees, do have a significant explanation for average Chinese monthly stock returns.

陆国庆、彭超玲

财政、金融

金融学公司特征Fama-MacBeth回归

FinanceFirm CharacteristicsFama-MacBeth Regressions

陆国庆,彭超玲.中国股票市场的收入持续性和困境效应[EB/OL].(2021-04-16)[2025-08-10].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/202104-142.点此复制

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