"一带一路"国家贸易便利化对中美两国出口效应比较研究
Comparative Study of the Impact of Trade Facilitation in "the Belt and Road Initiative" countries on China and US Export
本文对"一带一路"国家的贸易便利化水平进行测度,并将综合评价指数引入贸易引力模型。结论表明:贸易便利化的整体水平和分项指标与中国对相关国家出口均显著正相关,其中效应最大的是基础设施。因此,"一带一路"建设优先发展基础设施是最优选择。目的国贸易便利化对美国出口的正效应大于中国,其中效应最大的是海关环境和电子商务。中国与"一带一路"国家的合作发展对美国的贸易利益将产生积极的促进作用。
This paper measures the degree of trade facilitation of countries along the Belt and Road and explores their effects applying trade gravity models. The results show that the overall level and sub-indexes of trade facilitation of a country along the Belt and Road are significantly and positively correlated with China\'s exports to the country. The biggest effect among four sub-indexes occurs in the infrastructure. Consequently, it\'s a best choice for China\'s Belt and Road Initiative to put in frastructure into the first priority. The positive effects of importing countries\' trade facilitation on US exports are greater than that of China. The cooperation between China and countries along the Belt and Road will have a promotional potential to American commercial interests.
彭志文、张思敏
贸易经济世界经济经济学
贸易便利化"一带一路"引力模型
rade facilitationhe Belt and Road InitiativeGravity model
彭志文,张思敏."一带一路"国家贸易便利化对中美两国出口效应比较研究[EB/OL].(2018-12-14)[2025-08-10].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201812-46.点此复制
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