“ 营改增 ” 对电信业税负和业绩的影响研究—— 基于上市公司双重差分模型
Reseearch on The effect of Reform on Telecom Enterprise Tax Burden and Performance Based on DID Model
电信业是我国国民经济的基础性部门,在国民经济中占有重要地位。从2014年6月至今,电信业"营改增"近4年,"营改增"后电信企业税负是增是减,业绩是否会受政策影响,影响程度多大,是学界目前讨论的热点。本文采用"营改增"前后(2014.6为政策分界点),即2013.6-2016.12期间沪深两市实验组和对照组样本上市公司的年报数据为研究对象,利用DID双重差分模型进行实证分析,通过两次差分,比较企业税负和业绩在"营改增"前后发生的变化。实证分析结果表明,"营改增"对电信企业税负没有显著影响,既没有显著增加企业税负,也没有造成税负显著下降,保持了税负稳定。同时,"营改增"会显著提高电信企业业绩。基本实现了"税负基本保持不变,税制改革平稳过渡"这一初步目标。
The telecommunication industry is the basic department of our national economy and occupies an important position in the national economy. From June 2014 to now, the telecom industry "increased" in the last 4 years, "the battalion to increase" after the telecom enterprise tax burden is increasing is reduced, the performance will be affected by the policy, the extent of the impact, is the focus of the academic debate. This paper adopts the "Battalion to Increase" (2014.6 ), that is, the annual report data of the listed companies of Shanghai and Shenzhen in the 2013.6-2016.12 test Group and the control group are the research object, using the did dual difference model to carry on the empirical analysis, through the two difference, compares the enterprise tax burden and the achievement in "the battalion to increase "Before and after the change. The empirical results show that the "battalion change" has no significant effect on the tax burden of the telecom enterprises, neither significantly increases the corporate tax burden, nor causes a significant decline in tax burden, and maintains a stable tax burden. At the same time, the "increase in the camp" will significantly improve the performance of telecommunications enterprises. Basically achieved the "tax burden basically remain unchanged, tax reform smooth transition" this initial goal.
谭光荣、陈倩
邮电通信经济财政、金融通信
财政学“ 营改增 ”电信业企业税负企业业绩双重差分模型
Public FinanceVAT ReformTelecom EnterpriseTax BurdenPerformanceDID Model
谭光荣,陈倩.“ 营改增 ” 对电信业税负和业绩的影响研究—— 基于上市公司双重差分模型[EB/OL].(2018-03-15)[2025-09-17].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201803-94.点此复制
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