经济波动的贸易传导机制——以中国为例的实证分析
ransmission of Fluctuation in Economy through Trade: A Case Study of China
本文在1978-2009年度经济数据的基础上，用协整、VAR脉冲响应和方差分解等计量方法，以中国为例实证分析了贸易对经济波动的传导。结果表明，中国贸易额和GDP的波动周期存在高度的协动性，国际贸易在向中国传导世界经济波动方面起着重要的作用。
On this basis of annual economic data for 1978-2009, this paper takes an econometric approach co-integration, VAR impulse response and variance decomposition to conduct a case of China to show how trade transmits fluctuations in the economy. The results indicate that there is high co-integration between fluctuations in trade and GDP. In China, world trade has played an important role in transmission the fluctuation of economy.
陈刚、刘英、李田力
世界经济贸易经济经济学
经济波动贸易传导实证分析
international trade transmissionfluctuation in economyempirical analysis
陈刚,刘英,李田力.经济波动的贸易传导机制——以中国为例的实证分析[EB/OL].(2010-11-01)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201011-11.点此复制
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