不同气候变化情景下的水文响应研究

Generating of future climate change scenarios by the outputs of GCMs is commonly used in resent research about the impacts of climate change on hydrological regimes and water resources. But due to the high uncertainties in the models itself and limited knowledge about economic and social factors, more tools of scenarios modelling need to be considerated. In this study, coupled with scenarios from GCMs’ outputs and synthetically generated scenarios from Weather Generator(WGEN), distributed physically and hydrologically-based three-layer variable infiltration capacity(VIC-3L) land surface model was applied to explore the hydrological responses under variable environment in the Hanjiang River basin, the source area of water transfer project from south to northern China.