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基于PCA-ELM对辽宁省某市房价的预测

Based on PCA-ELM forecast of housing prices in a city of Liaoning Province

中文摘要英文摘要

为快速准确的对辽宁省某市住宅商品房价格进行预测,选取经济,地域,供需等方面作为影响因素,以主成分分析(PCA)降维结果作为极限学习机(ELM)的输入向量,住宅商品房价格作为ELM输出向量;利用2010-2019年的数据作为训练样本对所构建的ELM模型进行训练,采用留一法交叉验证对训练集进行优化,并采用决定系数与相对误差对预测结果进行评价。结果表明:利用PCA提取的主成分充分考虑影响因素的不完备性,包含超过91.56%的信息,减少信息冗余;利用PCA处理后的数据降低ELM计算的复杂性;通过PCA-ELM预测模型可以有效的对住宅商品房价格进行预测。

In order to predict the price of residential commercial housing in Shenyang, Liaoning Province quickly and accurately, economy, region, supply and demand were selected as the influencing factors, principal component analysis (PCA) dimension-reduction results were used as the input vector of ELM, and commercial residential housing price in Shenyang was used as the output vector of ELM. The data from 2010 to 2019 were used as training samples to train the established ELM model, and the training set was optimized by the leave-one cross-validation method, and the determination coefficient and relative error were used to evaluate the prediction results. The results show that the principal components extracted by PCA fully consider the incompleteness of influencing factors, and contain more than 91.56% information, which reduces information redundancy. Using PCA processed data to reduce the complexity of ELM calculation; The PCA-ELM model can be used to forecast the price of residential commercial housing effectively.

蔡晨蕊、张艳菊、莫鑫蓬、付天予、李诺

自动化技术经济计算技术、计算机技术

主成分分析灰色关联分析极限学习机房价预测

Principal component analysisGrey correlation analysisExtreme Learning MachineHousing forecast

蔡晨蕊,张艳菊,莫鑫蓬,付天予,李诺.基于PCA-ELM对辽宁省某市房价的预测[EB/OL].(2021-06-10)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/202106-32.点此复制

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