基于灰色理论的瓦斯涌出量预测研究
Based on Grey Theory Prediction of Gas Emission
本文以某矿3801采煤工作面不同时间段瓦斯涌出量为依据，运用灰色理论提出了瓦斯涌出量的预测方法，建立了矿井瓦斯涌出量的GM(1 ,1) 预测模型，并对其进行了瓦斯涌出量的预测，通过进行残差检验，结果表明预测精度高，可以进行预测。从而运用该模型对11月28日瓦斯涌出量进行了预测，预测结果为2.02m3/min，与实际测得的2.08m3/min之间的误差为2.98%，预测精度为97.02%。对瓦斯涌出量预测并进行矿井安全生产具有很好的指导意义。
In this paper, different coal face 3801 in a mine gas emission time is based on gray theory of gas emission prediction method, a mine gas emission in GM (1, 1) prediction model made its prediction of gas emission, by making the residual test, the results show that the prediction accuracy can be predicted. Thus using the model on November 28 were predicted gas emission, predicted results for the 2.02m3/min, and the actual measured 2.08m3/min 2.98% error between the forecast accuracy of 97.02%. Prediction of gas emission and for mine safety has a good guide.
曹明、曹振兴、王长伟、黄波、王晓卿、赵旭光
矿山安全、矿山劳动保护矿山开采
灰色技术瓦斯涌出量预测残差检验
Grey technologygas emissionpredictionresidual test
曹明,曹振兴,王长伟,黄波,王晓卿,赵旭光.基于灰色理论的瓦斯涌出量预测研究[EB/OL].(2010-05-20)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201005-477.点此复制
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