出口贸易、经济增长与碳排放关系研究

his study attempts to empirically examine the relationships between carbon emissions, economic growth and export trade in the case of China using the times-series data for the period 1980-2009, by means of Johansen cointegration tests , Granger causality tests, Impulse response functions and variance decomposition based on a multivariate vector autoregression modeling. The results showed that: there is a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among carbon emissions, export trade and economic growth; export trade and economic growth both are Granger causes of carbon emissions;Reduce carbon emissions has little effect on economic development;in the short term, the impact from export trade are stronger than that from economic growth; but in the long run, economic development is the mainly cause to increase carbon emissions;export trade is impacted stably by both economic development and carbon emissions.Finally,we puts forward some policy Suggestions to reduce carbon emissions.