我国就业人口分析及预测模型建立初探

Based on analyzing the economic development and employment situation of China in recent years, we selected 11 pairs of economic and social indicators which had significant impact on employment. Statistics on various indicators were analyzed by SPSS software with the method of principal component analysis. The results show that there are three main components and five main economic indicators which have a great impact on Chinese employment. The principal component of national macroeconomic activity includes: total amount of revenue and expenditure, fixed assets investment; The principal component of enterprise economic activity includes: imports and exports, electricity consumption; The production (PPI)-Consumer (CPI) main components includes: consumer price index. Then we analyzed the main indicators impacting on employment by multiple non-linear regression analysis and established the prediction model about the quantity of employment in a year of China.