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基于LSTM神经网络融合用户相似性的移动轨迹预测

Trajectory Prediction Model Based on User Similarity and LSTM Neural Network

中文摘要英文摘要

随着智能设备和位置采集技术的普及,积累了大量轨迹数据。通过学习人群的移动轨迹,可以获得其移动规律,基于此信息进行地点预测对于探究交通规划、城市规划等特定问题具有很强的参考价值。本文提出了一种基于LSTM神经网络并融合了用户相似性信息的移动轨迹预测模型。首先通过分析用户历史轨迹信息,挖掘用户移动模式,计算用户移动模式相似性。然后,基于计算出的相似性对用户进行社区划分,分别构造和训练社区用户和个体用户的LSTM轨迹预测网络,最后将两个网络的预测结果进行加权融合,得到移动用户下一个目的地的预测。本文使用LSTM神经网络进行序列的建模,并同时考虑了个体历史移动的信息和相似用户提供的信息,实验结果表明该模型的预测结果具有较高的准确率。

With the popularity of smart devices and location acquisition technology, a large amount of trajectory data has been accumulated. By learning the trajectories of people, we can get the information about their movement patterns. Based on this information, trajectory prediction is very valuable for some problems such as traffic planning and urban planning. In this paper, we propose a users\' trajectories prediction model by using LSTM neural networksbased on user similarity. By analyzing users\' moving trajectories, firstly we mine users\' movement patterns and calculate their similarities. Next, users are divided into communities based on similarities. Then, LSTM trajectory prediction networks of the community users and the individual user are constructed and the prediction results of these two networks are weighted and summed up to obtain the prediction of the user\'s next destination point. In this paper, the LSTM neural network is used to model sequences and the information provided by both the history of individual moving trajectories and user similarity is taken into account. The experimental results indicate that the prediction results have high accuracy.

郭晟楠、林彦、苏泰毅、童凯南、林友芳

交通运输经济计算技术、计算机技术

LSTM神经网络用户相似性轨迹预测

LSTM neural networkUser similarityTrajectory prediction

郭晟楠,林彦,苏泰毅,童凯南,林友芳.基于LSTM神经网络融合用户相似性的移动轨迹预测[EB/OL].(2018-03-15)[2025-08-03].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201803-106.点此复制

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