核事故早期应急群决策模型研究

he rapid and effective early emergency response decision is the last necessary parclose after the nuclear accident, so the rapidly and effectiveness of the decision-making is the most important. Firstly, the utility function is proposed to calculate the optimistic coefficient of decision makers, then, turned the interval number and fuzzy value into real; After it, a decision model of individuals and groups will be established, in order to improve the effectiveness of decision-making;at the same time ,according to the results of ranking, a judgment matrix will be employed to check out the consistency between group and individual, thereby the expert internal agreement will be improved; finally, a case is applied to demonstrate its feasibility.