Assessing short- and long-term variations in diversity, timing, and body condition of migratory frugivorous birds

Abstract Under current global change context, climate change is driving substantial phenological mismatches between plant species and the organisms that rely on them. Given that frugivorous birds are fundamental for forest regeneration, and most of them are migrant species, identifying the effect of global change over them must be a priority. In this study we have analysed changes in the composition, morphometry, and physical condition in an avian community at long- (40 years) and short time (seasonal) spans. Our findings indicate a profound transformation at practically every level of analysis. In 40 years, the avian community shows a 66% and 13% decrease of the wintering and seed-disperser species, respectively. Seasonal abundance peaks were advanced in 13 out of 15 species. In addition, we have found a significant 1.5% increase in the morphometric measurements of certain species, supporting findings in previous studies, and also a remarkable general decrease of body condition. Our results point towards land use changes and climate change as the main causes. If this influence continues to rise, biodiversity will likely be irreversibly altered, damaging crucial ecosystem functions such as animal-mediated seed dispersal and forest regeneration in particular.