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SARS检疫隔离控制问题研究I

he quarantine and isolation control for SARS epidemics I

中文摘要英文摘要

在缺乏有效药物和疫苗的情况下,检疫隔离控制是阻止疾病传播的有效途径。针对此,本文以SARS疾病为例,分别讨论了检疫隔离控制下SARS SEQIJR单区域与多区域传播模型的无病平衡点的稳定性,也即防止疾病爆发的条件。对于单区域SARSSEQIJR传播模型,给出了无病平衡点局部稳定的充要条件并且指出当表征在实施隔离控制过程中的卫生预防措施水平的比例参数ξJ 超过某一阈值时,单独采用检疫或者隔离控制均不能防止疾病爆发,同时给出了相应的阈值。对于多区域SARSSEQIJR传播模型,主要讨论了区域之间的人口流动对疾病防控的影响。

In the absence of valid medicines or vaccine,quarantine and isolation strategies are the most important andeffective measures against the epidemics such as SARS (Severe AcuteRespiratory Syndrome). In this paper, the stability analysis of thedisease-free equilibrium for both Single area and Multi-area SEQIJRSARS transmission model with the quarantine and isolation controlwere addressed respectively. For the single area transmission model,the stability condition of the disease-free equilibrium were givenand reveal that when the levels of hygiene precautions duringisolation ξJ are very high, neither the quarantine ofasymptomatic individuals nor the isolation of symptomaticindividuals can control the epidemic separately, and the thresholdvalue of the ξJ were given correspondingly. For the Multi-areatransmission model, the influence of the inter-area population flowto SARS control were mainly considered.

邹云、刘新金

预防医学

稳定性SARSSEQIJR传播模型人口流动检疫隔离控制

StabilizationSEQIJR SARS transmission modelPopulation flowQuarantine andisolation control

邹云,刘新金.SARS检疫隔离控制问题研究I[EB/OL].(2011-12-02)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201112-60.点此复制

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