|国家预印本平台
首页|普惠金融可持续发展:货币政策和经济基础与其如何有效互动?

普惠金融可持续发展:货币政策和经济基础与其如何有效互动?

he sustainable development of financial inclusion: How can monetary policy and economic base interact effectively with it?

中文摘要英文摘要

摘要:有必要分析普惠金融发展与环境的关系,对政策制定者具有现实参考价值。本文采用向量自回归方法研究了货币政策和经济基础对普惠金融因子的冲击效应。实证结果表明,货币政策对普惠金融因子有短期的正的冲击效应,即激励性的货币政策短期内有利于普惠金融的展开;而经济基础的冲击效应则反之,即经济格局的突变短期内会使得普惠金融的展开遇到困难。文章采用世界银行的数据并结合中国的情况对实证结果进行了分析比较,从中得到启示:一是普惠金融可持续发展需要良好的外部环境,二是经济基础与普惠金融的相互促进与协调有利于普惠金融的可持续发展。

It is necessary to analyze the relationship between financial inclusion and circumstances, which has practical reference value for policy makers. This paper studies the impact of monetary policy and economic base on financial inclusion factors by using vector autoregressive. Empirical results show that monetary policy has a short-term positive impact on financial inclusion factors, while the economic base has the opposite, which means the positive incentives of monetary policy promote the development of financial inclusion in the short term and the sudden change of the economic situation will make it harder.Based on the data of the World Bank and the situation of China, this paper makes an analysis and comparison of the empirical results, and draws two findings: first, the sustainable development of financial inclusion needs a suitable circumstance; second, the appropriate coordination and mutual facilitation of economic base and finance is conducive to the sustainable development of inclusive finance.

徐轩、陈琪、殷绪螺、彭建刚

财政、金融

普惠金融货币政策经济基础协调向量自回归

financial inclusionmonetary policyeconomic basecoordinationvector autoregression

徐轩,陈琪,殷绪螺,彭建刚.普惠金融可持续发展:货币政策和经济基础与其如何有效互动?[EB/OL].(2019-03-26)[2025-08-24].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201903-322.点此复制

评论