甘肃省能源利用碳足迹估算与分析
Estimate and analysis of Carbon Footprint of energy utilization in Gansu province
20世纪80年代以来全球气候变暖加剧,碳足迹的研究成为近年来学术界的新兴热点。本文运用碳足迹的相关含义以及研究方法估算了2001-2011年甘肃省能源利用的碳足迹、碳足迹产值、强度与生态压力,并利用回归分析法,探讨经济增长与碳足迹之间的定量关系。研究结果表明:甘肃省碳排放量逐年上升,从2001年的9229.1万吨上升到2011年的20607.3万吨;碳足迹逐年上升,从2001年的0.565公顷上升到2011年的1.238公顷;煤炭类利用的碳足迹所占比例最大,石油次之,天然气最小;碳足迹产值从2001年的0.776万元/公顷增加到2011年的1.582万元/公顷,呈上升趋势,碳足迹强度从2001年的1.228 万公顷/元下降到2011年的0.632 万公顷/元,呈下降趋势,碳足迹生态压力从2001年的0.75上升到2011年的1.65。碳足迹与经济发展不表现为环境库兹涅曲线的倒"U"型关系,而是S型曲线关系。
Since 1980s, with the aggravation of global climate warming, the research of Carbon Footprint has became a hotspot in the academic circles. In order to discuss the quantitative relationship between economic growth and Carbon Footprint, the related meaning and the research method of Carbon Footprint are used to estimate the Carbon Footprint, value of Carbon Footprint, Carbon Footprint Intensity and Ecological Pressure Intensity of Carbon Footprint of energy utilization in Gansu province from 2001 to 2011, of those date are used to the regression analysis. The result shows: (1) the total Carbon Emission is being increased year after year Tons in this period, as well as the total Carbon Footprint from 0.565hm2 up to 1.238hm2; (2) The maximum proportion of Carbon Footprint is carbon, second is oil and last is gas;(3) Value of Carbon Footprint presents rising trend from 7760 yuan/hm2 up to 15820 yuan/hm2, however Carbon Footprint Intensity shows downtrend from 0.0001228 hm2/yuan to 0.0000632 hm2/yuan in this period, as well as Ecological Pressure Intensity of Carbon Footprint from 0.75 to 1.65. The fruit of analysis indicates that instead of the relationship between economic growth and Carbon Footprint is not Environmental Kuzne curve but S type curve.
吴旺旺、王彤彤、张小平
能源动力工业经济环境污染、环境污染防治
碳足迹能源利用回归分析甘肃省
arbon FootprintEnergy UtilizationRegression analysisGansu province
吴旺旺,王彤彤,张小平.甘肃省能源利用碳足迹估算与分析[EB/OL].(2014-05-20)[2025-08-11].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201405-340.点此复制
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