结构升级角度的产业间就业弹性动态关系研究

Based on the point of upgrading the industrial structure of employment in China and the data of 1979-2010 employment elasticity of the three major industries in China, this paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between them by the method of the Impulse Response and the Variance Decomposition. The empirical results show that the increasing of employment of the primary industry almost depends on itself, and it contributes a lot to the third industry. The increasing of employment of the secondary industry not only benefits for itself, but also has a certain influence on the primary industry; besides, it has a great impact on the variance of the third industry. The increasing of the employment elasticity of the third industry mostly relies on the primary industry and the secondary industry. To accelerate the upgrading of the industrial structure of employment and improve the overall employment elasticity in China, we should devote to develop the small and medium enterprises of the secondary industry and the third industry.