江苏产业结构优化升级的预测分析
Prediction of Jiangsu Industrial Structure Optimization and Upgrade
改革开放以来,江苏经济发展迅速,一直处于全国领先地位。目前,江苏地区已进入产业结构发生显著而深刻变化的历史机遇期,产业结构正处于发展演进、优化升级的过程中。在已有研究的基础上,本文采用了江苏省三次产业发展的各项数据,对产业结构与GDP总值的相关性分别进行了分析。通过相关分析,发现二者具有较强的相关性,之后建立回归模型,找出二者之间的函数关系,并利用回归方程组,对未来十年中江苏三次产业的产值进行了预测,可以看出未来江苏省的产业结构状况,对政府制定经济发展战略有一定的指导意义。
Since the reform and opening up, the development of Jiangsu economy has been changed fastly.Jiangsu has got a historical opportunity of a significant and profound change on the industrial structure.And the industrial structure is developing, optimizing and upgrading. Based on the former research, this paper uses the qualitative and quantitative analysis to further research the relationship between industrial structure and GDP value. The paper uses the data of Jiangsu economic development to research the correlation. According to the strong correlation analysis, the paper constructs the regression model and finds out the function relation between them. In the end, the paper puts forward the industrial structure in the following ten years. This will have some directions to Jiangsu government..
杨姣姣、丁三青
工业经济经济计划、经济管理
产业结构优化升级预测
Industrial StructureOptimization and UpgradePrediction
杨姣姣,丁三青.江苏产业结构优化升级的预测分析[EB/OL].(2011-04-20)[2025-08-02].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201104-493.点此复制
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