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Epidemic change-point detection in general causal time series

Epidemic change-point detection in general causal time series

来源:Arxiv_logoArxiv
英文摘要

We consider an epidemic change-point detection in a large class of causal time series models, including among other processes, AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$), ARMA-GARCH. A test statistic based on the Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter is proposed. It is shown that, under the null hypothesis of no change, the test statistic converges to a distribution obtained from a difference of two Brownian bridge and diverges to infinity under the epidemic alternative. Numerical results for simulation and real data example are provided.

Mamadou Lamine Diop、William Kengne

数学

Mamadou Lamine Diop,William Kengne.Epidemic change-point detection in general causal time series[EB/OL].(2021-05-28)[2025-08-02].https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.13836.点此复制

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