我国石油价格走势实证分析
Empirical analysis on oil price trend in china
石油是当今世界最为重要的基础能源和化工原料，它关系着国民经济振兴与国家经济安全。石油价格的波动对国内的政治、经济形势起着举足轻重的作用。ARMA模型能较好的预测金融时间序列的动态规律，本文利用ARMA模型对75个样本数据进行了拟合，并将其与实际值比较，在短期内效果良好。
Nowadays, petroleum is the most basic energy sources and chemical production. It related to national economic revitalization and national economic security. The fluctuation of oil prices played an important role to the domestic political and economic situation. ARMA model can better predict the dynamic laws of financial time series，in this paper, 75 samples data were fitted, and Comparing it with the actual data, it gets good effect in the short term.
高荣义
石油天然气工业经济油气能源、油气节能财政、金融
石油、天然气能走势RMA模型石油价格
oil gas energytrendRMA modeloil price
高荣义.我国石油价格走势实证分析[EB/OL].(2010-06-02)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201006-38.点此复制
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