淮河水质水量联合调度风险分析

In this paper, Joint water regulation of water quality in huaihe river basin in order to each project risk analysis, this paper simulates the 10 scheduling scheme, including real-time scheduling scheme, the human-computer interaction scheme and the optimization scheduling solution, choosing two main pollutant indexes in the huai river region CODMn and NH3 - N, each scheme are calculated respectively under the two kinds of excessive risk and excessive water quality indicators, also considering scheduling may be produced in the process of flood control and water supply risk, using multi-objective fuzzy comprehensive decision method, respectively, considering the above two kinds of quality, six factors to the water quality monitoring section claimed yesterday,Lutaizi and Bengbu gate for decision making, to calculate 7 scenarios in the order of each scheme. Results show that the real-time scheduling scheme 2 minimum risk under various scenarios, for optimal scheduling scheme of human-computer interaction program (scheme 3, 4, and 5) in a variety of scenarios are relatively risky, as the worst plan.