退耕还林(草)工程实施前后黄河中游生境质量时空变化分析
科学认识生境质量的时空变化特征及其发展趋势,对黄河中游生态保护修复以及高质量发展具有重要的 现实意义。本文基于1992—2020年欧洲航空航天局逐年的土地覆盖数据,采用InVEST模型估算生境质量,运用 Sen+MK检验和Hurst指数分析方法,探究了退耕还林(草)工程实施前后黄河中游的生境质量时空变化和发展趋 势。研究结果表明:(1)整体上看,29 a来黄河中游地区生境质量整体较好,平均生境质量指数为0.652,但呈现小 幅下降趋势(每10 a下降0.004),从局部上看,退耕还林(草)区生境质量呈现上升趋势(每10 a上升0.174),其中, 2011—2020年上升趋势最为显著,10 a增加了0.656;(2)2001—2020年黄河中游地区生境质量发生时空变化的趋 势类型以明显降低为主,但从不同时间段的发展来看,2011—2020年较2001—2010年生境质量向好发展的面积增 多,体现在退耕还林(草)区的生境质量上升;(3)未来黄河中游地区生境质量发生时空变化趋势类型以明显降低和 明显上升为主,且可持续性较强,明显降低区主要分布在汾渭平原以及城市集中发展区域,明显上升区主要位于山 西省、陕西省以及内蒙古自治区三地交界片区。
It is of great practical significance for the ecological protection, rehabilitation, and high- quality development of the middle reaches of the Yellow River to analyze the spatial and temporal characteristics of habitat quality and its development trend. On the basis of the land cover data of the European Aeronautics and Space Administration from 1992 to 2020, the InVEST model was used to estimate the habitat quality. Sen+MK test and Hurst index analysis methods were applied to explore the spatial and temporal changes and development trends of the habitat quality in the middle reaches of the Yellow River before and after the implementation of the Grain for Green Project. Results showed that the habitat quality in the middle reaches of the Yellow River was good overall in recent 29 years, with the average habitat quality index of 0.652. However, a slight downward trend was observed (a drop of 0.004 per decade). Meanwhile, the habitat quality in the Grain for Green area showed an upward trend (an increase of 0.174 per decade), of which the most significant reached 0.656 recorded from 2011 to 2020. The spatial and temporal changes of habitat quality in the middle reaches of the Yellow River from 2001 to 2020 mainly showed an obvious decrease trend. In terms of the development of different time periods, the area with good habitat quality in 2011-2020 increased compared with that in 2001-2010. This finding was reflected in the improvement of habitat quality in the Grain for Green area. In the future, the temporal and spatial changes of habitat quality in the middle reaches of the Yellow River will be dominated by obvious decrease and obvious increase trends, respectively, and the sustainability will be strong. The significantly reduced areas will be mainly distributed in the Fenwei plain and the urban centralized development areas, and the significantly increased areas will be mainly located in the border areas of Shanxi Province, Shaanxi Province and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.
黄银兰、金云翔、陈实
环境科学技术现状水利调查、水利规划治河工程、防洪工程
生境质量InVEST模型退耕还林I-LC黄河流域
黄银兰,金云翔,陈实.退耕还林(草)工程实施前后黄河中游生境质量时空变化分析[EB/OL].(2023-03-28)[2025-08-16].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202303.10341.点此复制
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