The Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on the First COVID-19 Epidemic Wave in South Africa
The Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on the First COVID-19 Epidemic Wave in South Africa
Abstract On the 5th of March 2020, South Africa reported its first cases of COVID-19. This signalled the onset of the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in South Africa. The response by the Government of South Africa to the COVID-19 epidemic in South Africa was the use of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). In this study, a semi-reactive COVID-19 model, the ARI COVID-19 SEIR model, was used to investigate the impact of NPIs in South Africa to understand their effectiveness in the reduction of COVID-19 transmission in the South African population. This study also investigated the COVID-19 testing, reporting, hospitalised cases and excess deaths in the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in South Africa. The results from this study show that the COVID-19 NPI policies implemented by the Government of South Africa played a significant role in the reduction of COVID-19 active, hospitalised cases and deaths in South Africa’s first COVID-19 epidemic wave.
Mabuka Thabo、Macharia Willie、Ndemera Tinashe、Lemeke Tlaleng、Silaji Andrea、Ross Michael、Ncube Nesisa
African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)African COVID-19 Modelling Research Group (ACMRG), The Afrikan Research Initiative (ARI)
预防医学医学研究方法
COVD-19NPIsEpidemiologyModellingSEIRSouth AfricaAfricaPolicy
Mabuka Thabo,Macharia Willie,Ndemera Tinashe,Lemeke Tlaleng,Silaji Andrea,Ross Michael,Ncube Nesisa.The Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on the First COVID-19 Epidemic Wave in South Africa[EB/OL].(2025-03-28)[2025-08-02].https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.29.21259625.点此复制
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