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沪深股市的协整关系分析

ointegration analysis of Shanghai and Shenzhen’s stock markets

中文摘要英文摘要

随着全球经济一体化进程的不断加深,在国际证券市场中,研究发现主要的股票市场之间呈现出越来越明显的联动趋势。本文首先对2000年-2007年这8年的上证综合指数序列和深证成份指数序列之间的关系进行了单位跟检验,结果表明两市的指数时间序列都是一阶单整的,然后采用EG两步法以及Johansen协整检验法这两种检验方法检验了两市时间序列的协整关系,最后得到了一致的结论,即这段期间的上证综指和深成指之间并不存在长期的均衡关系。

uring the proceeding of world economy integration, the main stock markets linkage is more and more obvious in the international security markets. With unit root tests, this paper first analysis the relationship between the share index series of Shanghai and Shenzhen’s stock markets during the period of 2000-2007. It turns out that the two share index series of two markets are 1st difference integrated. And then we will use two stage EG test and Johansen co-integration tests to examine the two share index time series. According to the result of two tests, the consistent conclusion shows that Shanghai stock market has no long equilibrium relationship to Shenzhen stock market.

孟盈

世界经济财政、金融

沪深股市单位根检验协整检验

Shanghai and Shenzhen’s stock marketsunit root testco-integration tests

孟盈.沪深股市的协整关系分析[EB/OL].(2008-10-21)[2025-08-02].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200810-487.点此复制

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