中国人口迁移对产业集约化发展的影响研究
Research on the Impact of Population Migration on Industrial Intensive Development in China
本文在系统性地阐明人口迁移对产业集约化发展作用机制的基础上,采用普通面板和空间面板模型实证分析了人口迁移对产业集约化的影响。研究发现:第一,长期而言,人口迁移对产业集约化发展的综合效应为正,人口迁移将通过资源配置优化、产业结构升级和创新能力提升机制促进产业集约化发展;第二,人口迁移在区域内产生正向空间溢出效应,而在区域间则产生负向空间溢出效应,存在"邻近竞争"现象;第三,产业集约化具有显著的空间正相关性,提高产业集约化水平有利于实现区域协调发展;第四,人口迁移对产业集约化发展的空间溢出效应存在明显的地区差异,东、西部地区为正向溢出,而中部地区溢出效应不明显。我国应高度重视人口迁移的空间溢出效应,充分发挥人口迁移对产业集约化发展和供给侧结构性改革的作用,不断推动经济高质量发展。
On the basis of systematically clarifying the mechanism of population migration on industrial intensification development, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of population migration on industrial intensification by using common panel and spatial panel models. The study found that: Firstly, in the long term, the comprehensive effect of population migration on industrial intensive development is positive. Population migration will promote industrial intensive development through optimizing resource allocation, upgrading industrial structure and improving innovation capability. Secondly, population migration has intra-regional positive spatial spillover effect, which directly promotes the intensive development of industry in the region, while has inter-regional negative spatial spillover effect, which result in "adjacent competition" phenomenon. Thirdly, there is a significant spatial positive correlation in industrial intensification. Improving the level of industrial intensification is conducive to the realization of coordinated regional development. Fourthly, there are regional differences in the spatial spillover effects of population migration on industrial intensive development. The direct effects of population migration in the eastern and western regions are significantly positive, while in the central region are not significant. We should attach great importance to the role of migration in industrial intensive development and supply-side structural reform, and continuously promote high-quality economic development.
高可盈、邹璇
工业经济
产业经济学人口迁移产业集约化空间溢出效应资源配置
Industrial economicsMigrationIndustrial intensificationSpatial spillover effectResource allocation
高可盈,邹璇.中国人口迁移对产业集约化发展的影响研究[EB/OL].(2020-06-03)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/202006-16.点此复制
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