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国际工程项目政治风险的形成、传导及路径分析

he Formation, Conduction and Path Analysis of Political Risks in International Engineering Projects

中文摘要英文摘要

国际市场中的政治风险阻碍着国际承包商的生存和发展,影响着国际工程项目的成败。论文从项目系统脆弱性的角度分析了政治风险的形成过程,并基于间断平衡论建构了一个可以同时对风险演化过程中稳定的渐进性与偶尔的重大变迁加以描述和解释的理论框架。通过对国际工程政治风险案例的分析,识别出了政治风险传导的关键路径。中国承包商应该充分认识政治风险形成机理,采取科学的防控策略来应对政治风险。

he political risks in the international market hinder the survival and development of international contractors and affect the success or failure of international engineering projects. The paper analyzes the formation process of political risk from the perspective of project system vulnerability, and constructs a theoretical framework that can simultaneously describe and explain the stable gradual and occasional major changes in the process of risk evolution based on intermittent equilibrium theory. Through the analysis of the cases of international engineering political risks, the key path of political risk transmission has been identified. Chinese contractors should fully understand the formation mechanism of political risks and adopt scientific prevention and control strategies to deal with political risks.

张娜、常腾原、鲁业红、周倩雯、邓小鹏

世界政治外交、国际关系工程设计、工程测绘

国际工程项目承包商政治风险形成机理间断平衡论

International Engineering ProjectContractorPolitical RiskFormation MechanismIntermittent Balance Theory

张娜,常腾原,鲁业红,周倩雯,邓小鹏.国际工程项目政治风险的形成、传导及路径分析[EB/OL].(2018-04-17)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201804-162.点此复制

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