中国人口老龄化的空间相关性研究
Research on Spatial Correlation of Aging Population in China
中国人口老龄化问题已经变得日趋严重,产生了很多的社会问题。本文基于探索性空间数据分析中的全局和局部空间自相关方法,利用了国家统计局31个省市的老年人口数据,对中国老龄人口化的趋势和特征做了详细研究。此外对全局空间自相关的期望和方差公式做了推导证明,并带入数据进行了计算。最终分析结果表明:全局空间自相关水平并不高,但是局部聚集现象非常显著。高高水平的区域主要分布在中国的中东部,低低水平的区域主要分布在中国西部,东北部和西北部,低高水平的区域主要分布在中国西南,高低水平的区域分布较为稳定,主要是辽宁,四川和广东省。
ging population has become one of the major problems in China and lead to related issues in whole society. Based on global and local spatial correlation analysis of Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA), we explore aging demographic trends and characteristics of global and local spatial differences of thirty one provinces in china with use of the data from National Bureau of Statistics. Furthermore,the expectation and variance of spatial autocorrelation has been derived and outcome are obtained.The results indicates that global spatial correlation of aging population level is not remarkable,but the local spatial autocorrelation level is obvious. It shows that aging population of high-high level mostly distribute in the center and eastern areas,while low-low distribution areas lie in west,northeast and northwest,the low-high distribution tend to concentrate in the southwest,high-low distribution seems to somewhat stably lie in Liaoning,Sichuan and Guangdong provinces.
王学丽、江智勇
自然科学研究方法地理
人口老龄化探索性空间数据分析空间相关性
aging populationESDAspatial correlation
王学丽,江智勇.中国人口老龄化的空间相关性研究[EB/OL].(2015-12-18)[2025-08-28].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201512-1023.点此复制
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