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1951—2020 年疏勒河流域气温时空变化特征

中文摘要英文摘要

基于疏勒河流域敦煌站、瓜州站和玉门站1951—2020年气温实测数据,采用线性倾向、累计距平、Mann-Kendall检验等方法,分析各站气温时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)疏勒河流域各站平均气温均呈显著上升趋势,倾向率排序表现为:敦煌站(0.244 ℃·(10a)-1,P瓜州站(0.209 ℃·(10a)-1,P玉门站(0.195 ℃·(10a)-1,P<0.05)。(2)敦煌站、玉门站四季平均气温呈显著上升趋势;瓜州站春季、秋季、冬季平均气温呈显著上升趋势,夏季平均气温呈不显著上升趋势。(3)疏勒河流域各站平均气温突变年份分别为1998年、1997年和1995年;第一主周期分别为58 a、30 a、13 a。(4)疏勒河流域全年及四季平均气温从东向西逐渐升高,不均匀系数和集中度均呈下降趋势。

he linear tendency, cumulative anomaly, and Mann-Kendall test were used to analyze the temporaland spatial variation of temperature in Dunhuang, Guazhou, and Yumen stations in the Shule River Basin from1951 to 2020. The results revealed that (1) all stations experienced a significant upward trend in averagetemperature, with tendency rates of 0.244 °C·(10a)?1 (P<0.05) for Dunhuang station, 0.209 °C·(10a)?1 (P<0.05)for Guazhou station, and 0.195 ° C · (10a) ? 1 (P<0.05) for Yumen station. (2) Dunhuang and Yumen stationsexhibited a significant upward trend in average temperature across all seasons, except for a nonsignificant upwardtrend in summer. (3) the mutation years for average temperature at Dunhuang, Guazhou, and Yumen stations were1998, 1997, and 1995, respectively, with the first main cycles being 58 a, 30 a, and 13 a, respectively. (4) andannual and seasonal average temperatures gradually increased from east to west in the Shule River Basin, withdecreasing nonuniformity coefficients and concentration degrees also observed.

武兰珍、张文睿、王亦可、季宗、王士维、周敏、孙栋元、王祥镔

大气科学(气象学)

气温时空变化M-K检验Morlet小波分析疏勒河流域

武兰珍,张文睿,王亦可,季宗,王士维,周敏,孙栋元,王祥镔.1951—2020 年疏勒河流域气温时空变化特征[EB/OL].(2023-08-25)[2025-08-02].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202308.00693.点此复制

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