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山东省能源消费与经济增长之间的关系研究

he relational research between Shandong Province energy consumption and economic growth

中文摘要英文摘要

能源是人类社会赖以生存和发展的物质基础,山东省作为中国重要的能源和基础工业基地,现今仍面临着十分巨大的转型降耗压力。在此背景下,研究山东省能源消费济增长之间的关系仍然具有重要的现实意义。本文首先利用山东省1978-2009年的数据,对能源消费与经济增之间进行单位根检验,结果显示二者是非平稳序列,并且都是二阶单整序列。由对残差稳定性的检验结果可以看出能源消费与经济增长之间不具有协整关系。由Granger因果关系检验表明能源消费与GDP之间存在着能源消费对GDP存在单向的因果关系。最后,提出了发展山东省能源经济的政策建议。

Energy is the survival and development of human society,as the China's important energy resources and industrial base,now shandong industry faces tremendous pressure. In this context, researching energy consumption and economic growth still has important practical significance.Frist,this article uses Shandong Province 1978-2009 year data to research the unit root test between energy consumption and economic growth. the results show that both are stationary sequence, and are second single whole sequence.From the stability of the residual inspection results can be seen that energy consumption and economic growth has no co-integration relationship.The results show that energy consumption and GDP is the second single-integration relationship, meanwhile from Granger causality test shows that the energy consumption and GDP exist one-way causality. Finally, it suggests the energy policy of the economic development.

高永娟、张明慧

能源动力工业经济

能源消费经济增长协整Granger检验

Energy consumptionEconomic developmentCoinintegrationGranger causality

高永娟,张明慧.山东省能源消费与经济增长之间的关系研究[EB/OL].(2011-05-31)[2025-08-06].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201105-686.点此复制

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