地方政府债务风险控制:一个综述
Literature Review about Risk Control of Subnational Government Debt
随着经济结构调整,我国的土地财政现象在未来难以持续,地方政府部门和融资平台债务存量高企,偿付压力快速增大,风险控制成为地方政府债务管理的主要内容。本文综合国内外的经典和最新研究文献,从公债上限控制、我国地方政府债务制度控制和信用违约预警方法三个方面对我国地方政府债务风险研究进行综述。总体来看,政府债务研究在世界范围内属于经久不衰的话题之一,我国地方政府债务问题产生时间较短,目前学者们对债务管理献言献策,取得了一定成就。但在债务风险的量化控制方面仍然没有完善的解决方法。本文旨在为地方政府债务风险控制手段的进一步创新理清脉络,为加强政府债务研究和监管提供参考。
With economic restructuring, the land finance will be unsustainable in the future, which may cause the rapid growth of outstanding debt and high pressure to service it. Thus, risk control becomes significant in managing subnational governemnt debt in China. This paper reviews the classic and latest literatures and provides a summary from three aspects: the control of upper limits of the outstanding debt, control of subnational government debt through institutional ways and early warning methods for default risk control. Generally, the study of public debt is one of the most popular themes around the world. The problem of governemnt debt in China takes place not far from now. Scholars have made a few of helpful suggestions, but there is still no very effective way to control the risk from quantifying it. This paper is going to help innovation in controlling methods and provide references for further improving the research and supervision of the subnational government debt.
方舟、陈共荣
财政、金融中国政治
会计学财政可持续债务门槛效应地方政府债务风险控制
ccountingFiscal SustainabilityDebt Threshold EffectSubnational Government DebtRisk Control.
方舟,陈共荣.地方政府债务风险控制:一个综述[EB/OL].(2016-05-27)[2025-08-17].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201605-1505.点此复制
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