|国家预印本平台
首页|基于SVM与混沌模型的腐蚀深度预测

基于SVM与混沌模型的腐蚀深度预测

orrosion Depth Prediction Based on SVM and Chaos

中文摘要英文摘要

油气管道随着服役时间的增加, 因腐蚀引起的管道穿孔和断裂等事故隐患随之加大, 因此对腐蚀管道进行可靠性预测具有重要作用。文章介绍基于支持向量机模型和基于最大Lyapunov指数对腐蚀深度预测及其评估方法, 并利用茂名石化减压塔泵-28入口阀后的6号电阻探针测试的腐蚀深度数据, 对腐蚀状况作了进一步预测, 通过实例证明支持向量机与混沌预测用于管道腐蚀有较好的效果,表明所提出的两种预测方法具有一定的合理性, 能够为管道的维修和安全管理提供参考依据。

Pipeline of oil and gas have an increase risk because of pipeline punctures and rupture caused by corrosion. Therefore, it is very important to have a reliable way for pipeline corrosion prediction. The corrosion depth prediction models that based on the support vector machines and based on chaos were introduced in this paper. A real example was given in this paper, and the corrosion data were obtained by electricity probe. The predicted results shows that prediction has a more high precision. The prediction ways based the support vector machines and chaos are reasonable in the corrosion research, which can supply a scientific basis for pipeline safety management, service life prediction and repair.

龙新峰、饶国燃、梁平

石油天然气储运自动化技术、自动化技术设备计算技术、计算机技术

腐蚀深度SVM混沌预测

corrosion depthSVMchaosforecasting

龙新峰,饶国燃,梁平.基于SVM与混沌模型的腐蚀深度预测[EB/OL].(2009-02-10)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200902-304.点此复制

评论