社会物流成本质量影响因素分析
nalysis on the Influencing Factors of Social Logistics Cost Quality
在经济全球化的推动下我国物流需求的不断扩展,物流产业得到快速发展,成为国民经济的支撑性产业之一。与此同时,社会物流成本显著增长。故精准有效地分析物流成本引起业界专家与学者的广泛关注。运输的货物周转量体现了物流运转的效率,故引入多种运输方式的货物周转量作为物流成本的影响因素。根据文献综述法,引入其他指标共同构成8个影响因素,并将社会物流总费用占社会物流总额的比重作为被解释变量。基于多元回归模型,运用Eviews软件对被解释变量与所选取的8个影响因素进行了回归分析以及ADF、AEG协整检验。结果表明,第二产业和水运物周转量对社会物流总费用占社会物流总额的比重的影响显著。公路货物周转量、铁路货物周转量的影响仅次于第二产业和水运物周转量,而第一产业、第三产业、民用航空货物周转量以及人均国内生产总值无显著影响。
riven by economic globalization, my country\'s logistics industry has developed rapidly and has become one of the supporting industries of the national economy. At the same time, the cost of social logistics has increased significantly. Therefore, accurate and effective analysis of logistics costs has attracted widespread attention from industry experts and scholars. The cargo turnover volume of transportation reflects the efficiency of logistics operation, so the cargo turnover volume of multiple transportation methods is introduced as an influencing factor of logistics costs. According to the literature review method, the introduction of other indicators together constitute 8 influencing factors, and the proportion of the total social logistics cost in the total social logistics as the explained variable. Based on the multiple regression model, using Eviews software to perform regression analysis and ADF and AEG co-integration tests on the explained variables and the selected eight influencing factors. The results show that the secondary industry and the turnover of water transport have a significant impact on the proportion of the total social logistics costs in the total social logistics. The impact of road cargo turnover and railway cargo turnover is second only to the secondary industry and water transport cargo turnover, while the primary industry, tertiary industry, civil aviation cargo turnover and per capita GDP have no significant impact.
靳志宏、罗凯、樊东方
交通运输经济综合运输水路运输工程
物流周转量影响因素多元回归计量经济学
Logisticsturnoverinfluencing factorsmultiple regressioneconometrics
靳志宏,罗凯,樊东方.社会物流成本质量影响因素分析[EB/OL].(2021-07-22)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/202107-15.点此复制
评论